{ "generated_at": "2026-06-05T13:53:29.358489+00:00", "turbine": "T02", "source": { "result_dirs": [ "outputs/results/decomposition", "outputs/results/component_reconstruction" ], "note": "single_run 是未设置 seed 的单次实验结果；seed_aggregate 是至少 2 个随机种子的聚合；seed_single 是参数网格、benchmark 或尚未凑齐多 seed 的单 seed 结果；C_component_reconstruction 是分量单独预测后重构求和的新实验组。" }, "counts": { "all": 128, "single_run": 18, "seed_result": 110, "seed_aggregate": 12, "seed_single": 74, "by_family": { "decomposition": 78, "component_reconstruction": 50 } }, "leaderboards": { "overall": [ { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 8, "mae": 1.31567231894097, "rmse": 1.725210990765621, "mape": 23.617685459623576, "r2": 0.7213932390003164, "skill_vs_persistence": 2.1274643492874445, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 7, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 2024, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 9, "mae": 1.3090716803438274, "rmse": 1.726117830718253, "mape": 23.840705547640702, "r2": 0.7246303732808869, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.374344684821771, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 8, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 8, "mae": 1.3408403632023924, "rmse": 1.7298748002838407, "mape": 23.800945067252897, "r2": 0.7234303611317037, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.159681711755156, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 7, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 9, "mae": 1.30739932056101, "rmse": 1.7306239029027175, "mape": 24.185056485017643, "r2": 0.7231907785919633, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.116880035432577, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 8, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 6, "mae": 1.3205958401115492, "rmse": 1.7308062046556671, "mape": 23.731322604926923, "r2": 0.7195831505111462, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.8100435967776995, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 5, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 6 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l8_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 9, "mae": 1.3254369667765622, "rmse": 1.7319863228759942, "mape": 23.772798744203584, "r2": 0.7192006260551593, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.743094589839278, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 8, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 3407, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 9, "mae": 1.3110201731472966, "rmse": 1.7320621213048022, "mape": 24.123310297635804, "r2": 0.7227305081206539, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.0347041666317058, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 8, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 2024, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 8, "mae": 1.3239057810198525, "rmse": 1.7339015203202834, "mape": 23.94672170294966, "r2": 0.7185792775224187, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.6344439777415842, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 7, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 2024, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 6, "mae": 1.3256414536182952, "rmse": 1.7359616558523774, "mape": 23.986658813883185, "r2": 0.7179101400346086, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.517570917351052, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 5, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 6 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l6_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l6_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 7, "mae": 1.3249997442236177, "rmse": 1.736160915740914, "mape": 23.822497986174973, "r2": 0.7178453777516276, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.506266751861185, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 6, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l6_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 7 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l6_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l6_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 7, "mae": 1.3432642789745814, "rmse": 1.7362522560917153, "mape": 23.970753568922426, "r2": 0.7213873671159261, "skill_vs_persistence": 0.7952913166721642, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 6, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l6_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 7 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 3407, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 8, "mae": 1.3489809657766842, "rmse": 1.7410809499359055, "mape": 23.6022997572448, "r2": 0.7198355121278401, "skill_vs_persistence": 0.51939294738097, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 7, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "overall", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components" } ], "single_run": [ { "file": "raw_transformer_T02_raw_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "raw", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "raw_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "Raw", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4227720597944835, "rmse": 1.9084192557805775, "mape": 22.206109194094118, "r2": 0.705011445276921, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.45533577951617, "decomposition": { "include_original": true }, "group_label": "Raw 基线", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "raw_orig" }, { "file": "vmd_transformer_T02_k5_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "vmd", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "B_orig", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.423704696452843, "rmse": 1.9089330698719138, "mape": 22.3552456566893, "r2": 0.7048525811492922, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.430688711886425, "decomposition": { "k": 5, "alpha": 2000, "tau": 0.0, "dc": 0, "init": 1, "tol": 1e-07, "include_original": true }, "group_label": "B组分解+原始风速", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "k5_orig" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_l3_db4_modes.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "turbine": "T02", "group": "A_modes", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4254135575897013, "rmse": 1.9106260264597783, "mape": 22.32731297324222, "r2": 0.7043288400663775, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.349479542618987, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "db4", "level": 3, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "A组纯分解", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes" }, { "file": "ssa_transformer_T02_k5_w72_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "ssa", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_w72_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "B_orig", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4251918949303488, "rmse": 1.9111302174070557, "mape": 22.15368632940121, "r2": 0.7041727714379313, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.325294086078605, "decomposition": { "window_len": 72, "n_components": 5, "include_original": true }, "group_label": "B组分解+原始风速", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "k5_w72_orig" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_modes.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "turbine": "T02", "group": "A_modes", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4270322446548604, "rmse": 1.911884587349073, "mape": 22.230224914981896, "r2": 0.7039391848291162, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.289107832543996, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "db4", "level": 3, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "A组纯分解", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes" }, { "file": "emd_lstm_T02_k5_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "B_orig", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.429091650809429, "rmse": 1.9134277811375517, "mape": 22.456358050481224, "r2": 0.7034610559703299, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.215082611531631, "decomposition": { "max_imfs": 5, "include_original": true }, "group_label": "B组分解+原始风速", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "k5_orig" }, { "file": "emd_lstm_T02_k5_modes.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "group": "A_modes", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.428358756926459, "rmse": 1.9153737497574168, "mape": 22.310555553343065, "r2": 0.702857585152202, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.121736747749575, "decomposition": { "max_imfs": 5, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "A组纯分解", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "l3_db4_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "B_orig", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4287562573935748, "rmse": 1.9156677895576923, "mape": 22.13478038611763, "r2": 0.7027663461417617, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.107631998647847, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "db4", "level": 3, "include_original": true }, "group_label": "B组分解+原始风速", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "l3_db4_orig" }, { "file": "emd_transformer_T02_k5_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "B_orig", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4291820587396522, "rmse": 1.9156890363611876, "mape": 22.223765489503815, "r2": 0.7027597528273137, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.106612814060476, "decomposition": { "max_imfs": 5, "include_original": true }, "group_label": "B组分解+原始风速", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "k5_orig" }, { "file": "raw_lstm_T02_raw_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "raw", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "raw_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "Raw", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.429066096497319, "rmse": 1.9157657296067165, "mape": 22.690396471889198, "r2": 0.702735952747925, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.102933927783962, "decomposition": { "include_original": true }, "group_label": "Raw 基线", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "raw_orig" }, { "file": "emd_transformer_T02_k5_modes.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "group": "A_modes", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4283875804349815, "rmse": 1.9163846584067727, "mape": 22.245680978775148, "r2": 0.7025438467953051, "skill_vs_persistence": 8.0732446291637, "decomposition": { "max_imfs": 5, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "A组纯分解", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes" }, { "file": "ssa_lstm_T02_k5_w72_orig.json", "source": "decomposition", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "ssa", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_w72_orig", "turbine": "T02", "group": "B_orig", "seed": null, "benchmark_limit": null, "mode": null, "component_count": null, "mae": 1.4346600442831319, "rmse": 1.921767876400224, "mape": 22.177890302115806, "r2": 0.700870361951037, "skill_vs_persistence": 7.8150178888164445, "decomposition": { "window_len": 72, "n_components": 5, "include_original": true }, "group_label": "B组分解+原始风速", "run_type": "single_run", "display_experiment_id": "k5_w72_orig" } ], "seed_aggregate": [ { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 9, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.3091637246840446, "std": 0.0018121803120355274 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.7296012849752576, "std": 0.0031012833171940716 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 24.049690776764717, "std": 0.18360083716601303 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7235172199978347, "std": 0.0009911079156011374 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.175309628962018, "std": 0.17719885284367892 } }, { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 8, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.3230828979095626, "std": 0.007035323517239535 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.7336897647698255, "std": 0.008374904272351706 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.830678555455574, "std": 0.18470430887658745 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7186436342631887, "std": 0.002717997866303451 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.6464570316650533, "std": 0.4751147084933019 } }, { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 6 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 6, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.326741434218767, "std": 0.006763011056356154 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.736887624140307, "std": 0.006593351333486155 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.908751658514472, "std": 0.15403766120611265 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7176064113849112, "std": 0.0021447939228398144 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.465040029965729, "std": 0.3740458511442226 } }, { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 8, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.3472294903569524, "std": 0.005718235110443282 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.7377771110311364, "std": 0.006874147581409726 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.68739964745201, "std": 0.10233206199648073 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7208948603575944, "std": 0.002205675540690206 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 0.7081652729081567, "std": 0.3927700055491973 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "display_experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4279264520696373, "std": 0.0017341713841670316 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9112510248103542, "std": 0.0012917525704215164 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.179813211948904, "std": 0.1114528015568977 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7041352801723054, "std": 0.00039997959919286987 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.319499094680982, "std": 0.06196387662563898 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "emd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "emd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "emd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4262632833036424, "std": 0.0013212577921272563 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.911539927611056, "std": 0.0022083402126861482 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.33403624418386, "std": 0.0678870390713054 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7040456549780567, "std": 0.0006835901042897698 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.305640761506814, "std": 0.10593152560298041 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "display_experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed42.json", "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed2024.json", "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4260440330358475, "std": 0.0017873316213101382 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9137862925866223, "std": 0.001740913672087449 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.28060700909778, "std": 0.14339010560849133 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7033497592334242, "std": 0.0005398092325377847 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.197885232011926, "std": 0.0835096151253787 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "emd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "emd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "emd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4339400360378707, "std": 0.0041602448808319 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9154318114260425, "std": 0.0012308896775507006 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.2184317814503, "std": 0.18413819014081168 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.702839488220511, "std": 0.000381850620480771 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.118951596665864, "std": 0.0590443540550817 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "vmd", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "vmd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "vmd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "vmd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4442198102177988, "std": 0.0019354016939642804 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9280239619640678, "std": 0.0014979192493192286 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.507382629661393, "std": 0.03758764424608244 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6989195092204545, "std": 0.00046772752980947583 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 7.514920700768287, "std": 0.07185345373820241 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "vmd", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "vmd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "vmd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "vmd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.443231969585739, "std": 0.0027597880702308385 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9315823993804566, "std": 0.0047013378610258 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.543211489005063, "std": 0.07504298190088263 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6978060395971312, "std": 0.0014720499774468212 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 7.344226573968737, "std": 0.22551773912940332 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "ssa", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "ssa_lstm_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed42.json", "ssa_lstm_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed2024.json", "ssa_lstm_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.5495965110270267, "std": 0.0017006106147458538 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 2.0385554136928175, "std": 0.002237622474777947 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.95526602133589, "std": 0.13068191661025824 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6634086292349375, "std": 0.0007390312647720951 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 2.2128548136934323, "std": 0.10733616184457241 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "ssa", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "ssa_transformer_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed42.json", "ssa_transformer_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed2024.json", "ssa_transformer_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.5546350713893968, "std": 0.0009620553479753566 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 2.052332179938917, "std": 0.001515245681800101 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 24.06791500530526, "std": 0.02655554256942445 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6588439685965833, "std": 0.0005037291935829167 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.5519992725312164, "std": 0.07268458266273183 } } ], "seed_single": [ { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l8_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 9, "mae": 1.3254369667765622, "rmse": 1.7319863228759942, "mape": 23.772798744203584, "r2": 0.7192006260551593, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.743094589839278, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 8, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l6_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l6_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 7, "mae": 1.3249997442236177, "rmse": 1.736160915740914, "mape": 23.822497986174973, "r2": 0.7178453777516276, "skill_vs_persistence": 1.506266751861185, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 6, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l6_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 7 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l6_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l6_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 7, "mae": 1.3432642789745814, "rmse": 1.7362522560917153, "mape": 23.970753568922426, "r2": 0.7213873671159261, "skill_vs_persistence": 0.7952913166721642, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 6, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l6_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 7 components" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 8, "mae": 1.3700750350358841, "rmse": 1.748150029900397, "mape": 23.248304946574635, "r2": 0.7175558642352747, "skill_vs_persistence": 0.1154850382185546, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 7, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l5_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 6, "mae": 1.3565739936904875, "rmse": 1.7493960000810334, "mape": 23.288710999111547, "r2": 0.7171531043155233, "skill_vs_persistence": 0.04429370737105698, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 5, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l5_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 6 components" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_w432_l6_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "w432_l6_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 7, "mae": 1.3710807134738918, "rmse": 1.7494038810665014, "mape": 23.32186017061031, "r2": 0.7171505558733232, "skill_vs_persistence": 0.04384340940037923, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 6, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l6_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 7 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l4_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l4_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 5, "mae": 1.3676345176539433, "rmse": 1.7666859940127717, "mape": 23.649359210805994, "r2": 0.7078365051308755, "skill_vs_persistence": -0.22544422574937162, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 4, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l4_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 5 components" }, { "file": "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l3_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l3_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 4, "mae": 1.3759756343546292, "rmse": 1.772605976645516, "mape": 23.94362588560491, "r2": 0.7058752050676149, "skill_vs_persistence": -0.5612893567948918, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 3, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l3_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 4 components" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_w432_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "w432_l5_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 6, "mae": 1.4190629746673804, "rmse": 1.7948579485378127, "mape": 23.41736533700193, "r2": 0.7022612754976869, "skill_vs_persistence": -2.5532777785737926, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 5, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l5_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 6 components" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_w288_l6_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "w288_l6_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 7, "mae": 1.4124393171986394, "rmse": 1.8032174973852257, "mape": 24.4459088441845, "r2": 0.6956288784587858, "skill_vs_persistence": -2.2979042815526984, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 6, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l6_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 7 components" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_w288_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "w288_l8_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 9, "mae": 1.4154630661223904, "rmse": 1.8053799007260296, "mape": 24.504435457722977, "r2": 0.6948984421482728, "skill_vs_persistence": -2.4205790727503285, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 8, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components" }, { "file": "wt_transformer_T02_w288_l4_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "source": "component_reconstruction", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "w288_l4_haar_components", "turbine": "T02", "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "seed": 42, "benchmark_limit": 5000, "mode": "causal_component_series", "component_count": 5, "mae": 1.427867907072287, "rmse": 1.8058244194377628, "mape": 23.879989382552903, "r2": 0.6947481800921727, "skill_vs_persistence": -2.4457969583854267, "decomposition": { "wavelet": "haar", "level": 4, "include_original": false }, "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "run_type": "seed_single", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l4_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 5 components" } ] }, "all_seed_aggregates": [ { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 9, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.3091637246840446, "std": 0.0018121803120355274 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.7296012849752576, "std": 0.0031012833171940716 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 24.049690776764717, "std": 0.18360083716601303 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7235172199978347, "std": 0.0009911079156011374 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.175309628962018, "std": 0.17719885284367892 } }, { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 8, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.3230828979095626, "std": 0.007035323517239535 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.7336897647698255, "std": 0.008374904272351706 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.830678555455574, "std": 0.18470430887658745 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7186436342631887, "std": 0.002717997866303451 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.6464570316650533, "std": 0.4751147084933019 } }, { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l5_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 6 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 6, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w288_l5_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.326741434218767, "std": 0.006763011056356154 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.736887624140307, "std": 0.006593351333486155 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.908751658514472, "std": 0.15403766120611265 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7176064113849112, "std": 0.0021447939228398144 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.465040029965729, "std": 0.3740458511442226 } }, { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 8, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l7_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.3472294903569524, "std": 0.005718235110443282 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.7377771110311364, "std": 0.006874147581409726 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.68739964745201, "std": 0.10233206199648073 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7208948603575944, "std": 0.002205675540690206 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 0.7081652729081567, "std": 0.3927700055491973 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "display_experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4279264520696373, "std": 0.0017341713841670316 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9112510248103542, "std": 0.0012917525704215164 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.179813211948904, "std": 0.1114528015568977 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7041352801723054, "std": 0.00039997959919286987 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.319499094680982, "std": 0.06196387662563898 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "emd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "emd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "emd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4262632833036424, "std": 0.0013212577921272563 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.911539927611056, "std": 0.0022083402126861482 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.33403624418386, "std": 0.0678870390713054 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7040456549780567, "std": 0.0006835901042897698 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.305640761506814, "std": 0.10593152560298041 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "wt", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "display_experiment_id": "l3_db4_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed42.json", "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed2024.json", "wt_transformer_T02_l3_db4_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4260440330358475, "std": 0.0017873316213101382 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9137862925866223, "std": 0.001740913672087449 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.28060700909778, "std": 0.14339010560849133 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7033497592334242, "std": 0.0005398092325377847 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.197885232011926, "std": 0.0835096151253787 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "emd", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "emd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "emd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "emd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4339400360378707, "std": 0.0041602448808319 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9154318114260425, "std": 0.0012308896775507006 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.2184317814503, "std": 0.18413819014081168 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.702839488220511, "std": 0.000381850620480771 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 8.118951596665864, "std": 0.0590443540550817 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "vmd", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "vmd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "vmd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "vmd_lstm_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.4442198102177988, "std": 0.0019354016939642804 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9280239619640678, "std": 0.0014979192493192286 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.507382629661393, "std": 0.03758764424608244 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6989195092204545, "std": 0.00046772752980947583 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 7.514920700768287, "std": 0.07185345373820241 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "vmd", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "vmd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed42.json", "vmd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed2024.json", "vmd_transformer_T02_k5_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.443231969585739, "std": 0.0027597880702308385 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.9315823993804566, "std": 0.0047013378610258 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 22.543211489005063, "std": 0.07504298190088263 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6978060395971312, "std": 0.0014720499774468212 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 7.344226573968737, "std": 0.22551773912940332 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "ssa", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "ssa_lstm_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed42.json", "ssa_lstm_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed2024.json", "ssa_lstm_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.5495965110270267, "std": 0.0017006106147458538 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 2.0385554136928175, "std": 0.002237622474777947 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 23.95526602133589, "std": 0.13068191661025824 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6634086292349375, "std": 0.0007390312647720951 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 2.2128548136934323, "std": 0.10733616184457241 } }, { "group": "A_modes", "group_label": "A组纯分解", "result_family": "decomposition", "method": "ssa", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "display_experiment_id": "k5_w72_modes", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": null, "component_count": null, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "ssa_transformer_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed42.json", "ssa_transformer_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed2024.json", "ssa_transformer_T02_k5_w72_modes_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.5546350713893968, "std": 0.0009620553479753566 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 2.052332179938917, "std": 0.001515245681800101 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 24.06791500530526, "std": 0.02655554256942445 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.6588439685965833, "std": 0.0005037291935829167 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.5519992725312164, "std": 0.07268458266273183 } } ], "current_snapshot": { "best_overall": { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w288_l7_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 8 components", "run_type": "seed_result", "seed": 42, "RMSE": 1.725210990765621, "MAE": 1.31567231894097, "MAPE": 23.617685459623576, "R2": 0.7213932390003164 }, "best_seed_aggregate": { "group": "C_component_reconstruction", "group_label": "C组分量预测+重构", "result_family": "component_reconstruction", "method": "wt", "model": "lstm", "experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components", "display_experiment_id": "w432_l8_haar_components | benchmark5000 | 9 components", "turbine": "T02", "benchmark_limit": 5000, "component_count": 9, "run_type": "seed_aggregate", "n": 3, "seeds": [ 42, 2024, 3407 ], "files": [ "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed42.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed2024.json", "wt_lstm_T02_w432_l8_haar_components_benchmark5000_seed3407.json" ], "MAE": { "mean": 1.3091637246840446, "std": 0.0018121803120355274 }, "RMSE": { "mean": 1.7296012849752576, "std": 0.0031012833171940716 }, "MAPE": { "mean": 24.049690776764717, "std": 0.18360083716601303 }, "R2": { "mean": 0.7235172199978347, "std": 0.0009911079156011374 }, "skill_vs_persistence": { "mean": 1.175309628962018, "std": 0.17719885284367892 } }, "best_single_run": { "method": "raw", "model": "transformer", "experiment_id": "raw_orig", "RMSE": 1.9084192557805775, "MAE": 1.4227720597944835, "MAPE": 22.206109194094118, "R2": 0.705011445276921 } } }